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DAVIES SEES GUIDE TO WAR'S DURATION

40 Months or 40 Years, He Says, Depending Upon Nazi Drive to Middle East

RUSSIAN AID IS ADVOCATED

Ex-Ambassador and Fannie Hurst Address 3,000 at Westcher Rally

Special to THE NEW YORK TIMES.
WHITE PLAINS, N. Y. May 11
—Substantial aid must reach Russia in 1942 if the year is to mark "the beginning of the end for Hitler." an audience of 3,000 persons in the Country Center here was told tonight by Joseph E. Davies, former Ambassador to Moscow. He spoke at a United Nations victory rally sponsored by the Westchester Lodge of B'nai B'rith for the benefit of ten war relief organizations.
"One certainty," Mr. Davies said, is that the Germans have at least one more big offensive in their system. The question is whether the British and ourselves can send enough aid to Russia and create enough trouble elsewhere to prevent a Hitler victory on the Russian front.

Strategy of Germans
"The basic German strategy is the reach the oil fields of the Caucasus and the Middle East, not only because Germany needs oil, but because a German breakthrough into the Middle East would effect a junction between the Asiatic end of the Axis—Japan— and the European end—Germany. Whether this war lasts forty months or forty years will be decided soon, and we have it in our power, by giving all aid to Russia, to make this the year of Hitler's doom." 
Major Alexander P. de Seversky said there should be no talk of a second front or a third front, because aerial combat had so revolutionized warfare that there could only be one front— "the great ocean of air." The United States, he declared. should take the lead in giving control of the air to the United Nations.
Fannie Hurst, the novelist, led the audience in a pledge of dedication "to the cause of freedom and equality" and "to give our all until victory is won and the evil forces of Hitlerism and fascism have been annihilated so that men and women all over the earth may be endowed with life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness."

Funds to Organizations
Samuel Markle, former president of the lodge sponsoring the rally, presided. Proceeds from the rally will go to the British, Czechoslovak, Greek, Norwegian, Palestine-Hadassah, United China, Russian, Dutch, Free French, and Belgian war relief organizations. Expenses of the rally were donated by B'nai B'rth.
Preceding the meeting, Schuyler